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The new model for forecasting conflict, which predicts outbreaks of violence and subsequent escalations into armed conflict has been developed with funding by the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO).
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Dr. Christopher Rauh spoke to the NOVAFRICA Sustainable Development Talks series about his research into conflict prediction.
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Forecasting when an armed conflict is likely to break out is notoriously difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low-level dispute.
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La Vanguardia newspaper has published an article that reports on Dr. Christopher Rauh's new model for forecasting conflict.
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Forecasting a phenomenon like armed conflict up to a year in advance is difficult, and history has shown conflict might suddenly appear out of a previously long lived and low level dispute.